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Viewing 15 posts - 346 through 360 (of 587 total)
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  • Jerome
    Keymaster

      Yes, it's true that some technologies can gently move into the ranks of cash cows.
      you are right to talk about MSFT and AAPL
      we can also think of INTC
      It reminds me a bit of IBM at the time.
      Be careful, however, it can happen that giants like this, due to a few bad strategic decisions, miss a technological turning point.
      These companies, due to their preferred sector, are much more subject to this type of error than more traditional companies, for example in food or cosmetics.
      IBM, for example, has already had to completely reinvent itself twice, otherwise it would have disappeared.
      We can also think of the case of Kodak... no one could have imagined that this giant, a former member of the Dow Jones, would become what it is.
      Let's also think of Nokia, the leader in mobile phones not so long ago!
      in our paradigm today, it is difficult to imagine a "life" in AAPL or MSFT, yet who knows maybe in 10 years they will have disappeared or almost... all it takes is one failed technological shift and bye bye... that is the magic of technology, it goes very quickly in one direction as in the other

      in reply to: TOP 5 OF YOUR PORTFOLIO? #17169
      Jerome
      Keymaster

        – VFC, obviously… + 340% in USD, + 257% in CHF and + 388% EUR!
        – LOW
        – ADP
        – HRL
        – ABT

        in reply to: And your top 5 highest dividend yields OUTSIDE REITs #17168
        Jerome
        Keymaster

          Hi
          It's true that we talk less about high yields here because growing dividends are favored.
          The problem with high yields is that they often reflect difficulties, temporary or not, of the company, with a drop in profits, accompanied by a fall in the share price, and ultimately a reduction or cut in the dividend (with the consequence of an even more violent fall in the share price). This is not always the case, but history has shown that this is often how it happens.

          In short, I'm still going to play this game and make my little selection:
          – ARLP: 10.8%: it is an MLP, a coal producer in the US, in difficulty like all energy companies at the moment. Sensitive souls should abstain: very volatile and in a bearish phase.
          – DEM: 5.2%: Emerging market high yield equity ETF, like energy, under pressure at the moment

          in reply to: Is Caterpillar a good stock to buy? #17167
          Jerome
          Keymaster

            Interesting yield, payout ratio (still) correct, dividend growth also correct, but be careful: the yield is interesting because the price is in free fall (it actually reflects the profits which are also in a downward phase)
            all this embellished with a nice volatility…
            So only play if you have strong nerves and you have a very long-term perspective, because in the short term it could be quite a shake-up.

            in reply to: Introducing the passion for trading #17165
            Jerome
            Keymaster

              it's done, I turned you into a contributor 🙂
              looking forward to seeing you trading apricots and petite arvine…

              in reply to: Introducing the passion for trading #17162
              Jerome
              Keymaster

                Hi Laurent
                coincidence or not, I came across your blog yesterday while googling.
                A trader who lives in Nendaz is original 😉
                If you like, I'll open a contributor account for you: http://www.dividendes.ch/membre-contributeur/
                your life story may be of interest to my readers, even if our investment methods differ significantly.

                Jerome
                Keymaster

                  Come to Switzerland, I tell you. Here, the value of work is important. There are also profiteering slackers, but they're not in the majority. And above all, they're quick to spot, label and point the finger.
                  Incidentally, regarding the transfer of securities, I had been able to negotiate with Postfinance to pay part of the transfer fees (which the other broker was charging me).

                  in reply to: crazy #17159
                  Jerome
                  Keymaster

                    A country's wealth has always been created by the "little guys", the hard-working ants. Never via the political cicadas.
                    In France, there are too many cicadas compared with ants.

                    Jerome
                    Keymaster

                      Come to Switzerland!

                      in reply to: Tax-free "dividends": ZURN and the others? #17157
                      Jerome
                      Keymaster

                        Interesting yes thank you, but beware this video is from March and these companies' dividends have all already been paid for this year.
                        And there's no guarantee that it'll be the same next year.
                        Incidentally, I'm surprised that all these SMI blue-chips (see video at 3:16) have simultaneously resorted to this practice... I wonder if that's really the case. Can anyone who owns these stocks confirm this?

                        in reply to: Teekay Offshore (TOO) #17153
                        Jerome
                        Keymaster

                          Hello Gregory

                          First of all, it's important to understand that I use REITs and MLPs as a hedging strategy.
                          Just a reminder here: http://www.dividendes.ch/2013/11/les-strategies-de-dividendes-croissants/
                          It's a riskier strategy than the Global Dividend Growers, more volatile, in fact the most volatile of my 4 strategies.
                          So reserve this for investors with stronger nerves and who already have several fund values in their portfolio.
                          TOO's fundamentals are not at their best. The stock is bearing the brunt of falling oil prices.
                          But paradoxically, that's why it's so interesting: it allows us to hedge against variations in the dollar (which is inversely correlated with the dollar).
                          Here's a reminder: http://www.dividendes.ch/2011/12/actions-en-devises-etrangeres-et-risque-de-monnaie-12/
                          I recently acquired XOM and BP for the same reasons. I'm counting on a long-term rise in the price of oil, which will cover my numerous positions in dollars, a structurally weak currency.

                          The 4 stars therefore reflect this quality of hedging against currency risk, combined with relatively low volatility in our reference currency CHF (I say relatively, because REITs and MLPs are quite volatile by nature). Of course, the high dividend is also attractive, but this carries a risk due to declining earnings. We must therefore consider the drop in share price and the increase in yield as a premium for the risk taken by the investor. In other words, the dividend cut is already anticipated in the current share price. In the end, that's my opinion.

                          The rating is updated every weekend. On the other hand, your question tells me that I should be stricter on the rating for this strategy, to reflect its riskier aspect. I'll see how I can put this into practice.

                          in reply to: Introducing YackYack #17152
                          Jerome
                          Keymaster

                            Hello YackYack

                            welcome to you and courage, the road is long but it's worth it!

                            in reply to: index fund (passive management) growing dividends #17151
                            Jerome
                            Keymaster

                              because rising dividends beat the equity market
                              http://www.dividendes.ch/2011/05/ces-dividendes-croissants-qui-battent-le-marche-13/
                              and that the equity market is outperforming the real estate market (historical average return of around 10% for equities, about half that for real estate).
                              I buy direct and I rent, but I also have real estate funds and REITs.

                              in reply to: index fund (passive management) growing dividends #17149
                              Jerome
                              Keymaster

                                Each stock is influenced to a greater or lesser extent by the market (which is reflected in its beta). A stock with a high beta, even one with a low P/E, can fall, just because its friends are falling too. Of course, if its fundamentals are good (which is not always the case with a low P/E), it will fall less than the market, and more importantly, it will rise faster.
                                The market view gives a global overview, while the PER or other valuation indicators give an individual view. The two views complement each other.

                                in reply to: Where to start? #17146
                                Jerome
                                Keymaster

                                  another useful link:
                                  http://www.dividendes.ch/forum-2/dividendes/questions-quand-on-commence-en-bourse/

                                  how much to start with... let's say you follow the rule of no more than 1% in transaction fees, so I'll let you do the math based on your broker's fees in relation to your first purchase
                                  DEGIRO I don't know at all, not known in Switzerland.
                                  price as such is meaningless
                                  a share at USD 15 is no cheaper than one at USD 30
                                  always compare the price with a benchmark: profit, dividend, book value...

                                Viewing 15 posts - 346 through 360 (of 587 total)